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Italy Cuts Growth Outlook to 0.6% Amid Rising Inflation Pressures

Italy’s central bank lowers GDP growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027 while raising inflation projections, signaling economic headwinds.

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Rome, April 4, 2026: The Bank of Italy has revised down the country’s economic growth projections, warning of slower expansion and persistent inflationary pressures in the coming years. In its latest report released Friday, the central bank said Italy’s economy is now expected to grow by 0.6% in 2026, a downgrade from earlier estimates. Growth is projected to slow further to 0.5% in 2027, reflecting weaker domestic demand and ongoing global uncertainties. At the same time, the bank raised its inflation forecasts, citing higher energy costs, supply chain constraints, and lingering price pressures across key sectors. The updated outlook suggests that inflation may remain above previous expectations, complicating the country’s economic recovery path. Economists note that Italy, the eurozone’s third-largest economy, continues to face structural challenges, including low productivity growth and high public debt. External factors such as geopolitical tensions and fluctuations in global trade are also contributing to the cautious outlook. The revised projections highlight the delicate balance policymakers must maintain between supporting growth and controlling inflation, as Italy navigates a period of economic uncertainty. Bn

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